Brazil vs Morocco — World Cup 2026 Prediction

Brazil open against Morocco at MetLife Stadium — the same venue that hosts the final on 19 July. Brazil are favourites at -130, draw at +280, Morocco at +320. The match has tightened on Rodrygo’s confirmed ACL absence.

Form guide

Brazil go without Rodrygo. The likely front three is Estêvão right, Vinícius Júnior left, Endrick or João Pedro central. Morocco under Walid Regragui run a disciplined 4-1-4-1 with Sofyan Amrabat as the holding midfielder, the same setup that took them to the Qatar 2022 semi-finals.

Key matchup

Vinícius Júnior versus Morocco’s right-back Achraf Hakimi. Hakimi has the pace and the positional sense to manage Vinícius for stretches. The deciding battle.

The pick

Brazil win, Under 2.5. Morocco’s defensive structure makes goals scarce. Likely scoreline: 1-0 or 2-1.